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ALWAYS FRED > International > Global oil prices and bond yields rise after President Trump warns Iran about stalled peace talks
Global oil prices and bond yields rise after President Trump warns Iran about stalled peace talks
International

Global oil prices and bond yields rise after President Trump warns Iran about stalled peace talks

May 18, 2026 6 Min Read
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Oil costs rose on Monday after US President Donald Trump warned Iran that “the clock is ticking” as talks to finish the battle stalled.

Brent crude, the worldwide benchmark, rose 1.7% to $111.13 (83.44 kilos), whereas U.S.-traded crude rose 2.1% to $107.62.

Authorities borrowing prices within the US, Japan and Europe additionally rose as issues about inflation continued to rise.

Power markets have been unstable after Iran successfully shut down the principle Strait of Hormuz waterway in retaliation for the U.S. and Israeli offensive in opposition to Iran that started on February 28.

About one-fifth of the world’s oil and liquefied pure gasoline (LNG) usually passes by way of slim transportation routes.

“They higher transfer quick or there can be nothing left,” President Trump wrote on social media. “Time is of the essence!”

In the meantime, Iranian media reported that the USA made no concrete concessions in response to Tehran’s newest proposals to finish the battle.

If the U.S. doesn’t compromise, it’s going to result in a “stalemate in negotiations,” the semi-official Mehr information company reported.

Trump’s message echoed his menace shortly earlier than the ceasefire was introduced in early April that “a complete civilization” could be destroyed if Tehran didn’t conform to a peace deal.

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The president final week warned that the ceasefire was a “large life help operation” after rejecting Iran’s calls for as “utterly unacceptable.”

He’s scheduled to fulfill with senior nationwide safety advisers on Tuesday to debate choices for navy motion relating to Iran, information platform Axios mentioned.

Inflation issues have pushed up bond yields and authorities borrowing prices world wide in latest weeks, prompting traders to more and more count on central banks to lift rates of interest.

On Monday, the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield — successfully the rate of interest charged by the U.S. authorities on a 10-year mortgage — hit 4.63%, its highest stage in additional than a yr.

Yields on Japanese authorities bonds additionally rose after Reuters reported that the Japanese authorities is prone to challenge new bonds as a part of financing an extra price range deliberate to cushion the financial blow from the battle.

The yield on 30-year Japanese authorities bonds rose to a report excessive of 4.2%, and the 10-year yield rose to 2.8%, the very best stage since October 1996.

Eurozone bond yields additionally rose.

The newest improve was timed to coincide with the continuing G7 finance ministers’ assembly in Paris.

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Requested on her arrival whether or not she was frightened concerning the decline in world bond markets, European Central Financial institution President Christine Lagarde instructed reporters: “I all the time fear. That is my job.”

“Summer time of Ache”

“This can be a very dire scenario and except the Straits are opened it’s going to get a lot worse,” Claudio Galimberti, chief economist at Rystad Power, instructed the BBC as oil costs rose above $111.

“Except Hormuz is opened, I feel we’re in for a summer season of ache.”

Rising oil costs are elevating gas prices for firms, together with airways, a lot of that are heading into the height vacation season.

Irish airline Ryanair reported full-year outcomes on Monday, saying: “The Center East battle has created financial uncertainty and it stays to be seen when the Strait of Hormuz will reopen.”

The corporate mentioned it has received a contract that may lock in costs for 80% of jet gas within the coming months.

Nonetheless, the worth of the remaining 20% ​​has “soared because of the Center East battle.”

Ryanair’s earnings rose to 2.26 billion euros (2 billion kilos) from 1.6 billion euros final yr, and income rose 11% to fifteen.5 billion euros within the yr to the top of March.

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Nonetheless, because of the progress of the Iran battle and the battle in Ukraine, it’s tough to foretell the enterprise outlook at this level.

Through the Center East battle, Iran launched assaults on neighboring nations resembling Israel, Bahrain, and the United Arab Emirates (UAE).

The United Arab Emirates mentioned on Sunday {that a} drone assault had brought on a fireplace close to a nuclear energy plant, calling the incident a “harmful escalation.”

Authorities are investigating the reason for the strike. The nation’s Ministry of Protection introduced that three drones entered the UAE from “the route of the western border.”

Two of the drones have been intercepted, whereas a 3rd drone struck a generator “outdoors the inside perimeter” of Abu Dhabi’s Barakah nuclear energy plant, inflicting a fireplace.

Native authorities mentioned no accidents have been reported and there was no influence on radiation security ranges.

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