Dr Mahamudu Bawumia continues to get pleasure from robust loyalty from New Patriotic Celebration (NPP) supporters who skipped the 2024 elections, however is struggling considerably among the many floating voters wanted to regain energy in 2028, a brand new World Data Analytics ballot reveals.
The March 2026 monitoring ballot launched on Tuesday highlights what pollster Moussa Danquah describes because the NPP’s “base versus base voter downside.” This dynamic might form the celebration’s prospects within the subsequent basic election.
“The information factors to an issue of pro-nuclear energy voters versus non-pro-nuclear voters, and the mobilization of absentee voters will exacerbate this downside, not resolve it,” Dankwa stated.
The ballot analyzed the preferences of voters who didn’t take part within the December 2024 elections, damaged down by celebration affiliation throughout two doable matchups: Dr Bawumia vs. Minister of Finance Dr. Cassiel Ato Forson, and Dr. Bawumia vs. former NDC basic secretary Johnson Asiedu Nketiah.
Amongst NPP voters who stayed dwelling in 2024, Dr. Bawumia maintains overwhelming assist. He secured 77%, in comparison with Dr. Forson’s 11% within the group. Dr Bawumia’s lead over Asiedu Nketiah is even stronger, with polls exhibiting him at 83% in comparison with 8%.
NDC supporters who didn’t vote in 2024 are exhibiting related celebration loyalty in the wrong way. Amongst NDC absentee voters, Dr Forson acquired 77% of the vote, in comparison with Asiedu Nketiah’s 74% inside the identical bloc.
However the scenario adjustments quickly amongst floating voters, voters who haven’t declared a celebration affiliation and who additionally didn’t take part within the 2024 polls.
On this group, Dr Bawumia follows each NDC candidates. Dr. Forson leads him by 12 factors with approval rankings of 47% to 35%, whereas Asiedu Nketiah leads in a detailed race with a margin of 38% to 36%.
The survey additionally reveals blended opinions of Dr. Bawumia amongst voters who assist smaller political events or who refuse to reveal their celebration affiliation.
He has secured 29% of each video games on this group, in comparison with Dr. Forson’s 47% and Asiedu Nketiah’s 35%.
